Random Forest Nowcast and Forecast

Boosted Trees Nowcast and Forecast

Maxnet Trees Nowcast and Forecast

GAM Nowcast and Forecast

GLM Nowcast and Forecast

Metrics

Metrics by model type
model_type accuracy boyce_cont roc_auc tss_max
rf 0.9377163 0.9311828 0.9889799 0.9291759
bt 0.8615917 0.9639587 0.9259995 0.7029104
maxnet 0.6632065 0.9653945 0.7730891 0.4331560
gam NA NA NA 0.4830036
glm NA NA NA 0.4189326

Variable Importance